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BMS News

Another New Hurricane Landfall Study

By: - January 26th, 2017

Three weeks ago, James Kossin published a major study in the scientific journal Nature: “Hurricane intensification along United States coast suppressed during active hurricane periods” (http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v541/n7637/full/nature20783.html). This paper has gotten a bit of press in various insurer publications as over the last decade near term hurricane risk has dramatically influenced […]

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2016 – The Good News

By: - January 12th, 2017

As 2016 natural catastrophe headlines funnel in from various media outlets and insurance publications, a theme of negative highlights quickly emerges. Few headlines point out the positives that occurred. In this post, I want to highlight a few of the 2016 insurance industry positives that might otherwise be lost in […]

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Tis the season for severe weather across the south, but it’s been extremely quiet so far?

By: - November 28th, 2016

Tornado and hurricane drought? It’s no surprise that the recent lack of hurricane landfalls has drawn the attention of the insurance industry. The long-standing Florida hurricane drought ended with hurricane Hermine’s landfall on September 2, and of course, Matthew threatened to end the major U.S. hurricane drought as well. However, […]

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BMS Tropical Update 10/10/2016 12 PM CDT

By: - October 10th, 2016

Now that Matthew’s story is complete, immediate attention will turn to Nicole, a tropical storm currently 450 miles south of Bermuda. The models generally agree that Nicole will slowly strengthen back into a hurricane and that there is a good chance that Matthew will become a strong category 1 or […]

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BMS Tropical Update 10/9/2016 10 AM CDT

By: - October 9th, 2016

  Mathew End Game Matthew is now classified as a post tropical storm as the majority of its energy has merged with a mid-latitude frontal system.   As a result Matthew will once again defy the long range forecast models that had suggested Matthew’s energy would travel southward towards the Bahamas.  […]

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BMS Tropical Update 10/8/2016 10 AM CDT

By: - October 8th, 2016

Matthew Weakening Matthew has weakened from a category 3 hurricane yesterday afternoon down to a category 1 hurricane overnight.  Matthew has officially made landfall near Mcclellanville, SC as a category 1 hurricane.   Matthew has weakened due to a shallower continental shelf and lower ocean heat content. Also as Matthew […]

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BMS Tropical Update 10/7/2016 10 AM CDT

By: - October 7th, 2016

Summary 4,001days: that is how long it has been since a major hurricane (Wilma) made landfall in south Florida. And today, Matthew, the violent end to the U.S major hurricane drought, rages into day two. Many of the hurricane models that forecasted a central Florida landfall were clearly wrong, as […]

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BMS Tropical Update 10/6/2016 10 AM CDT

By: - October 6th, 2016

Summary Matthew is a weak category-4 hurricane and will likely slowly strengthen today as passes over Nassau, Bahamas. Matthew will likely make landfall between Jupiter, Florida, and West Palm Beach, Florida, as a category-4 hurricane. Landfall should weaken Matthew to a category 2 by the time it reaches Daytona Beach, Florida, […]

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BMS Tropical Update 10/5/2016 11 AM CDT

By: - October 5th, 2016

Summary Matthew has weakened slightly due to interaction from Cuba and Haiti yesterday and is currently still a weaker Category 3 hurricane 115 miles south of Long Island Bahamas. However, it will only take 12 – 24 hours to regain strength into a stronger category 3 or 4 hurricane as […]

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BMS Tropical Update 10/4/2016 11 AM CDT

By: - October 4th, 2016

Summary Matthew will cause U.S insured loss based on current analog tracks. Matthew will be a major hurricane as it tracks along the East Coast of Florida up into North Carolina. The NHC still does not see this as a major hurricane impacting North Carolina, but I do if the […]

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