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BMS Tropical Update 10/3/2016 11 AM CDT

By: - October 3rd, 2016

Summary Matthew continues to be a powerful category 4 hurricane 275 miles SW of Port Au Prince Haiti. Matthew will be a devastating hurricane for Haiti and the Bahamas. It should not be surprising if Matthew become a category 5 hurricane near Haiti and Cuba.  Little weakening should be expected […]

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BMS Tropical Update 10/2/2016 10 AM CDT

By: - October 2nd, 2016

Summary Matthew is still a powerful category 4 hurricane 340 miles southwest of  Port Au Prince, Haiti. Matthew is a very small storm with hurricane force winds only extending out from the center 25 miles. Matthew’s impact to Haiti will be devastating.  Flooding rains and a rare hit from the […]

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BMS Tropical Update 10/1/2016 11 AM CDT

By: - October 1st, 2016

Summary Matthew is very powerful category 4 hurricane 390 miles southeast of Kingston, Jamaica and the second major hurricane of the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season. No one – I mean NO one forecasted Matthew to rapidly intensifying into a category 5 Hurricane yesterday. This just goes to show how much […]

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BMS Tropical Update 9/30/2016 11 AM CDT

By: - September 30th, 2016

Summary Tropical Storm Matthew is very close to becoming a major hurricane as it is 495 mile southeast of Kingston, Jamaica. Matthew has intensified over the last 24 hr.    This was not forecasted to occur given the storm is still undergoing 20 kts of southerly wind shear.   Matthew is defying […]

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BMS Tropical Update 9/29/2016 11 AM CDT

By: - September 29th, 2016

As of 11 am EDT the  NHC suggests Tropical Storm Matthew is close to a hurricane with a location 290 miles south of San Juan Puerto Rico.   With any of the next advisories the named storm could be upgraded to a hurricane. Forecasted Intensity As highlighted over the last two […]

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BMS Tropical Update 9/28/2016 12 PM CDT

By: - September 28th, 2016

As I wrote about this past weekend, Tropical Storm Matthew would likely form over the southern Caribbean islands and there was uncertainty in the long range forecast of where Matthew might end up in the long range.   Well, sure enough this morning Matthew formed just east of the Caribbean as […]

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BMS Tropical Update 9/25/2016 11 AM CDT

By: - September 25th, 2016

At the start of the 2017 hurricane season you might remember the general prediction  was tropical systems will struggle over the main development region due to dry air and at times high wind shear.  However, as tropical systems take shape and move westward towards the Caribbean or U.S. coastline, the […]

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BMS Tropical Update 9/14/2016 12 PM CDT

By: - September 14th, 2016

I think everyone was surprised to the naming of  Tropical Storm (TS) Julia overland last night at 10 PM EDT. My jaw basically dropped when my iPhone alerted me that the National Hurricane Center (NHC) upgraded investigation area 93L to named storm Julia. This was a huge surprise for many […]

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BMS Tropical Update 9/3/2016 9 AM CDT

By: - September 3rd, 2016

Hermine is about ready to write chapter four.  Chapter 1 – Unwillingness to develop across Atlantic.  Chapter 2 – Tropical depression in Gulf.  Chapter 3 – Southeastern landfall impacts ending the 10 year Florida hurricane drought.    Now chapter 4 is starting, which should be Northeast impacts.   Like many storms of […]

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BMS Tropical Update 9/2/2016 12 PM CDT

By: - September 2nd, 2016

Hermine made landfall near St. Marks, Florida, around 1:30 am EDT with winds of 80 mph, making it a strong category 1 hurricane at landfall. As predicted, flooding rains, storm surge and tree fall have been the biggest insured impacts and overall should result in a minimal loss for the […]

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