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BMS Tropical Update 9/10/2017 11 AM CDT

By: - September 10th, 2017

Historic Day in Hurricane History Today will go down as a fairly historic day in hurricane history on many fronts. It is still too early to determine what the insured losses from Irma in the U.S. will be, but the indications from modeling companies suggest they could be historic. Irma […]

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BMS Tropical Update 9/9/2017 12 PM CDT

By: - September 9th, 2017

Waiting for the Turn North Did you know that the Associated Press has reported that 5.6 million people have been asked to evacuate Florida ahead of Hurricane Irma? To my knowledge, this is now the largest evacuation in U.S. history. The previous record was 3.7 million people who evacuated ahead […]

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BMS Tropical Update 9/8/2017 11 AM CDT

By: - September 8th, 2017

Margin of error very slim now As tough as this is for me to say, we are now in a window of model error (48 hours at about 50 miles) that suggests we are at the point where south Florida will likely see a catastrophic hurricane landfall. Based on some […]

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BMS Tropical Update 9/7/2017 12 PM CDT

By: - September 7th, 2017

The Critical Turn North We are now in the critical 72-hour window before Irma’s expected interaction with south Florida.  The model runs overnight have been fairly consistent, but for a 72-hour forecast, there still seems to be a considerable amount of spread in the timing of the northward turn.  I […]

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BMS Tropical Update 9/6/2017 1 PM CDT

By: - September 6th, 2017

One For The Record Books It appears that the global models have a common case of the flip-flops over the last 48 hours, which is typical with a complex forecast situation. We are also seeing some of the history books on hurricane intensity being rewritten. Based on information received from […]

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BMS Tropical Update 9/5/2017 12 PM

By: - September 5th, 2017

Irma Heading Into The History Books I mentioned in Friday’s BMS Tropical Update that Irma would become a major hurricane, possibly a Category 5, near the Leeward Islands. As of this morning, Irma can be found 180 miles east of Antigua and moving at 14 mph, officially a Category 5 […]

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BMS Tropical Update 9/1/2017 12 PM

By: - September 1st, 2017

As mentioned in the last BMS Tropical Update, it’s a bit early to determine where hurricane Irma will be heading 10 to 15 days from now, which is when it could be eyeing a potential U.S. coastline impact. However, as much of the U.S. insurance industry heads into a long […]

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BMS Tropical Update 8/30/2017 12 PM

By: - August 30th, 2017

Harvey Help Over the week I have shared resources that can help the insurance industry understand the impact from Hurricane Harvey. Now that Harvey is moving slowly inland, with smaller creeks receding and damage assessments beginning, I would like to summarize and share more resources that will help the insurance […]

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BMS Tropical Update 8/28/2017 12 PM

By: - August 28th, 2017

Harvey the Good and Bad News If there is a bit of good news, it might be that Harvey is pulling in dry air which is giving some reprieve to the heavy rainfall near the center of Harvey.  The bad news is that Harvey as forecasted to moving out over […]

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BMS Tropical Update 8/27/2017 12 PM

By: - August 27th, 2017

Bad Situation Getting Worse Another day that I am overwhelmed with data and the impacts from Harvey and unfortunately today the data is suggesting the rainfall amounts are likely higher than what was predicted to fall over the seven-day period starting this past Thursday.  I will once again try to […]

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