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BMS Tropical Update 10/6/2016 10 AM CDT

By: - October 6th, 2016

Summary Matthew is a weak category-4 hurricane and will likely slowly strengthen today as passes over Nassau, Bahamas. Matthew will likely make landfall between Jupiter, Florida, and West Palm Beach, Florida, as a category-4 hurricane. Landfall should weaken Matthew to a category 2 by the time it reaches Daytona Beach, Florida, […]

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BMS Tropical Update 10/5/2016 11 AM CDT

By: - October 5th, 2016

Summary Matthew has weakened slightly due to interaction from Cuba and Haiti yesterday and is currently still a weaker Category 3 hurricane 115 miles south of Long Island Bahamas. However, it will only take 12 – 24 hours to regain strength into a stronger category 3 or 4 hurricane as […]

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BMS Tropical Update 10/4/2016 11 AM CDT

By: - October 4th, 2016

Summary Matthew will cause U.S insured loss based on current analog tracks. Matthew will be a major hurricane as it tracks along the East Coast of Florida up into North Carolina. The NHC still does not see this as a major hurricane impacting North Carolina, but I do if the […]

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BMS Tropical Update 10/3/2016 11 AM CDT

By: - October 3rd, 2016

Summary Matthew continues to be a powerful category 4 hurricane 275 miles SW of Port Au Prince Haiti. Matthew will be a devastating hurricane for Haiti and the Bahamas. It should not be surprising if Matthew become a category 5 hurricane near Haiti and Cuba.  Little weakening should be expected […]

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BMS Tropical Update 10/2/2016 10 AM CDT

By: - October 2nd, 2016

Summary Matthew is still a powerful category 4 hurricane 340 miles southwest of  Port Au Prince, Haiti. Matthew is a very small storm with hurricane force winds only extending out from the center 25 miles. Matthew’s impact to Haiti will be devastating.  Flooding rains and a rare hit from the […]

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BMS Tropical Update 10/1/2016 11 AM CDT

By: - October 1st, 2016

Summary Matthew is very powerful category 4 hurricane 390 miles southeast of Kingston, Jamaica and the second major hurricane of the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season. No one – I mean NO one forecasted Matthew to rapidly intensifying into a category 5 Hurricane yesterday. This just goes to show how much […]

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BMS Tropical Update 9/30/2016 11 AM CDT

By: - September 30th, 2016

Summary Tropical Storm Matthew is very close to becoming a major hurricane as it is 495 mile southeast of Kingston, Jamaica. Matthew has intensified over the last 24 hr.    This was not forecasted to occur given the storm is still undergoing 20 kts of southerly wind shear.   Matthew is defying […]

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BMS Tropical Update 9/29/2016 11 AM CDT

By: - September 29th, 2016

As of 11 am EDT the  NHC suggests Tropical Storm Matthew is close to a hurricane with a location 290 miles south of San Juan Puerto Rico.   With any of the next advisories the named storm could be upgraded to a hurricane. Forecasted Intensity As highlighted over the last two […]

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BMS Tropical Update 9/28/2016 12 PM CDT

By: - September 28th, 2016

As I wrote about this past weekend, Tropical Storm Matthew would likely form over the southern Caribbean islands and there was uncertainty in the long range forecast of where Matthew might end up in the long range.   Well, sure enough this morning Matthew formed just east of the Caribbean as […]

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BMS Tropical Update 9/25/2016 11 AM CDT

By: - September 25th, 2016

At the start of the 2017 hurricane season you might remember the general prediction  was tropical systems will struggle over the main development region due to dry air and at times high wind shear.  However, as tropical systems take shape and move westward towards the Caribbean or U.S. coastline, the […]

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