By: Andrew J Siffert - November 28th, 2016
Tornado and hurricane drought? It’s no surprise that the recent lack of hurricane landfalls has drawn the attention of the insurance industry. The long-standing Florida hurricane drought ended with hurricane Hermine’s landfall on September 2, and of course, Matthew threatened to end the major U.S. hurricane drought as well. However, […]
By: Andrew J Siffert - October 10th, 2016
Now that Matthew’s story is complete, immediate attention will turn to Nicole, a tropical storm currently 450 miles south of Bermuda. The models generally agree that Nicole will slowly strengthen back into a hurricane and that there is a good chance that Matthew will become a strong category 1 or […]
By: Andrew J Siffert - October 9th, 2016
Mathew End Game Matthew is now classified as a post tropical storm as the majority of its energy has merged with a mid-latitude frontal system. As a result Matthew will once again defy the long range forecast models that had suggested Matthew’s energy would travel southward towards the Bahamas. […]
By: Andrew J Siffert - October 8th, 2016
Matthew Weakening Matthew has weakened from a category 3 hurricane yesterday afternoon down to a category 1 hurricane overnight. Matthew has officially made landfall near Mcclellanville, SC as a category 1 hurricane. Matthew has weakened due to a shallower continental shelf and lower ocean heat content. Also as Matthew […]
By: Andrew J Siffert - October 7th, 2016
Summary 4,001days: that is how long it has been since a major hurricane (Wilma) made landfall in south Florida. And today, Matthew, the violent end to the U.S major hurricane drought, rages into day two. Many of the hurricane models that forecasted a central Florida landfall were clearly wrong, as […]
By: Andrew J Siffert - October 6th, 2016
Summary Matthew is a weak category-4 hurricane and will likely slowly strengthen today as passes over Nassau, Bahamas. Matthew will likely make landfall between Jupiter, Florida, and West Palm Beach, Florida, as a category-4 hurricane. Landfall should weaken Matthew to a category 2 by the time it reaches Daytona Beach, Florida, […]
By: Andrew J Siffert - October 5th, 2016
Summary Matthew has weakened slightly due to interaction from Cuba and Haiti yesterday and is currently still a weaker Category 3 hurricane 115 miles south of Long Island Bahamas. However, it will only take 12 – 24 hours to regain strength into a stronger category 3 or 4 hurricane as […]
By: Andrew J Siffert - October 4th, 2016
Summary Matthew will cause U.S insured loss based on current analog tracks. Matthew will be a major hurricane as it tracks along the East Coast of Florida up into North Carolina. The NHC still does not see this as a major hurricane impacting North Carolina, but I do if the […]
By: Andrew J Siffert - October 3rd, 2016
Summary Matthew continues to be a powerful category 4 hurricane 275 miles SW of Port Au Prince Haiti. Matthew will be a devastating hurricane for Haiti and the Bahamas. It should not be surprising if Matthew become a category 5 hurricane near Haiti and Cuba. Little weakening should be expected […]
By: Andrew J Siffert - October 2nd, 2016
Summary Matthew is still a powerful category 4 hurricane 340 miles southwest of Port Au Prince, Haiti. Matthew is a very small storm with hurricane force winds only extending out from the center 25 miles. Matthew’s impact to Haiti will be devastating. Flooding rains and a rare hit from the […]