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BMS News

El Niño saves Florida from hurricane winds, but other severe weather could be costly this winter

By: - November 10th, 2015

The central and eastern Pacific experiences a lot of year-to-year variability in Sea Surface Temperatures (SST). Some years the water is much warmer (El Niño), and some years the water is much cooler (La Niña). The current phase of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is approaching its peak warmth with […]

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BMS Tropical Update Joaquin 10/02/2015 12PM CDT

By: - October 2nd, 2015

All week the discussion around the track of hurricane Joaquin has been about the uncertainty. Today the end game for Joaquin is much more certain as Joaquin has now started its northward movement away from the Bahamas where Joaquin grew to an impressive category 4 hurricane. Joaquin is the first […]

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BMS Tropical Update Joaquin 10/01/2015 12PM CDT

By: - October 1st, 2015

  “Reports that say that something hasn’t happened are always interesting to me, because as we know, there are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know. But […]

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BMS Tropical Update Joaquin 9/30/2015 12PM CDT

By: - September 30th, 2015

Hurricane Joaquin rapidly intensified overnight and is now a Category 1 hurricane tracking west toward the Bahamas. As I wrote about yesterday, the forecast uncertainty for Joaquin is extremely high. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has clearly communicated this uncertainty in their forecast discussions which I have quote below. “Confidence […]

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Time to wake up? BMS Tropical Update -TS Joaquin – 09/29/2015 3:00 PM CDT

By: - September 29th, 2015

As you might have noticed TS Joaquin has been named by the NHC and is currently 425 miles East Northeast of the Bahamas. I have been saying since the start of the season the main threat this year is along the East Coast of the U.S which follows the pattern […]

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BMS Tropical Update 8/28/2015 12PM CDT

By: - August 28th, 2015

Tropical Storm Erika continues to defy forecasts made earlier in the week. At this point in time Erika was supposed to be much further north of the island of Hispaniola and in a much better overall environment for intensification. However, Erika is currently 90 miles southeast of Santo Domingo, DominicaRepublic, […]

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BMS Tropical Update 8/26/2015 12PM CDT

By: - August 26th, 2015

Since my last update on Monday at noon, Erika has formed into a tropical storm and is tracking toward the Bahamas. Erika is currently 285 miles east of the island of Antigua in the western Caribbean. Tropical storm watches and warnings are out for many of the northern Caribbean islands. […]

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BMS Tropical Update 8/24/2015 12PM CDT

By: - August 26th, 2015

This is a quick tropical-storm update for the group as activity in the Atlantic Ocean heats up this week. You might have noticed named storm Danny is no longer a threat and has been discontinued by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). Instead, it is now an open tropical wave as […]

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Active Severe Weather Season? Yawner Hurricane Season? – Think Again

By: - July 10th, 2015

After the long winter much of Eastern North America experienced, it is sad to say we are rapidly approaching mid-summer. This also means we are past the climatological peak of the U.S. severe weather season, and fast approaching the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season which occurs around September 10th. […]

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Severe Weather Halfway Point

By: - May 29th, 2015

As we approach the climatological peak, I want to provide an update on the North American severe weather season and paint a picture of what the rest of the season might yield. Besides the latest round of severe flooding in the South Central U.S., there has not been a noteworthy […]

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