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BMS News

Already off to a head start – Hurricane season officially begins June 1

By: - May 31st, 2016

After two years of below normal named storm activity in the Atlantic basin most prognostication suggests that the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season will be above average. Many of these forecasts are citing a weakening El Niño and warmer than average seas surface temperatures over much of the Atlantic basin as […]

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Fading El Niño – What’s Next For Insurance Industry?

By: - April 6th, 2016

A Q1 and El Niño wrap up With winter and Q1, 2016, behind us, the insurance industry can review the active weather pattern and resulting insured losses. As mentioned in my blog post last fall, Florida experienced lots of weather activity, which is typical during strong El Niño winters such […]

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First East Coast winter storm of the season

By: - January 21st, 2016

If you have been living under a rock the last few days, you might not know that the first big nor’easter of the 2015/2016 winter season is expected to hit the East Coast of the U.S. this weekend. This storm summary will focus on the insured impacts of and provide […]

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El Niño saves Florida from hurricane winds, but other severe weather could be costly this winter

By: - November 10th, 2015

The central and eastern Pacific experiences a lot of year-to-year variability in Sea Surface Temperatures (SST). Some years the water is much warmer (El Niño), and some years the water is much cooler (La Niña). The current phase of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is approaching its peak warmth with […]

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BMS Tropical Update Joaquin 10/02/2015 12PM CDT

By: - October 2nd, 2015

All week the discussion around the track of hurricane Joaquin has been about the uncertainty. Today the end game for Joaquin is much more certain as Joaquin has now started its northward movement away from the Bahamas where Joaquin grew to an impressive category 4 hurricane. Joaquin is the first […]

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BMS Tropical Update Joaquin 10/01/2015 12PM CDT

By: - October 1st, 2015

  “Reports that say that something hasn’t happened are always interesting to me, because as we know, there are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know. But […]

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BMS Tropical Update Joaquin 9/30/2015 12PM CDT

By: - September 30th, 2015

Hurricane Joaquin rapidly intensified overnight and is now a Category 1 hurricane tracking west toward the Bahamas. As I wrote about yesterday, the forecast uncertainty for Joaquin is extremely high. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has clearly communicated this uncertainty in their forecast discussions which I have quote below. “Confidence […]

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Time to wake up? BMS Tropical Update -TS Joaquin – 09/29/2015 3:00 PM CDT

By: - September 29th, 2015

As you might have noticed TS Joaquin has been named by the NHC and is currently 425 miles East Northeast of the Bahamas. I have been saying since the start of the season the main threat this year is along the East Coast of the U.S which follows the pattern […]

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BMS Tropical Update 8/28/2015 12PM CDT

By: - August 28th, 2015

Tropical Storm Erika continues to defy forecasts made earlier in the week. At this point in time Erika was supposed to be much further north of the island of Hispaniola and in a much better overall environment for intensification. However, Erika is currently 90 miles southeast of Santo Domingo, DominicaRepublic, […]

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BMS Tropical Update 8/26/2015 12PM CDT

By: - August 26th, 2015

Since my last update on Monday at noon, Erika has formed into a tropical storm and is tracking toward the Bahamas. Erika is currently 285 miles east of the island of Antigua in the western Caribbean. Tropical storm watches and warnings are out for many of the northern Caribbean islands. […]

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